Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: Recency bias
by
serjent05
on 14/06/2025, 19:11:17 UTC
In watching sports, it is very common for fans to have recency bias especially if fans are new. They might not have watched certain important events so they end up only believing what they have witnessed from recently. If a team wins the latest match, fans might think they are already at the best form of their careers.

People oftentimes believe only what they see so it is normal for people who have not watched the previous games of a team to base their understanding on the recent one.  But we all know that when it comes to sports betting this is somehow not helping to arrive in a more sound prediction. 

In sports betting, this can hinder you from making rational decisions. Sometimes, people fall for short clips cut specifically to make an athlete look good or cool. This is very common on reels or tiktok.

True, without knowing the past history of the team, their performance on the previous match agains the same team will really hinder a person to have a higher chance of correctly predicting the outcome of the game.

Quote
How would you combat recency bias? Or do you even believe that recency bias is a thing? or do you believe a team or athlete is only as good as their latest match?

It is quite easy to combat recency bias,  we just need to look for the history of the team fights and from there analyze the factors why the team lost or win the game. Ang btw, the last match does not speak the entire history of the team.