In watching sports, it is very common for fans to have recency bias especially if fans are new. They might not have watched certain important events so they end up only believing what they have witnessed from recently. If a team wins the latest match, fans might think they are already at the best form of their careers.
In sports betting, this can hinder you from making rational decisions. Sometimes, people fall for short clips cut specifically to make an athlete look good or cool. This is very common on reels or tiktok. How would you combat recency bias? Or do you even believe that recency bias is a thing? or do you believe a team or athlete is only as good as their latest match?
You should never judge a team's form based on just one match even if they played very well in their last game. First you need to see who their opponents were. Maybe they played that match against outsiders and in that case it is clear they should easily win it. The analysis of each match should be done individually and you need to consider many factors starting with the opponent and ending with the lineup that will play the next game.
As we know the lineup can be announced only an hour or half an hour before the start of the match so the choice of the lineup and event analysis is a very complicated and long process that cannot be done in a few minutes. And for this one last match will definitely not be enough.