I have pretty high doubts that we will get within less than 25% of the 200-WMA in 2025, and right now the 200-WMA is nearly $49k and it is moving up by around $40-ish per day ($35 to $55 per day)... so by the time that BTC prices go down (if they did), the 200-WMA would continue to go up, which almost makes it possible to assert that sub $70k will never be reached again... or at least it is 50/50 bettable... and I would take that bet, if you are interested for 50/50.

Regarding 2026.  Sure it is possible (but not a given) that the BTC price will touch upon or even go below the 200-WMA, yet it seems quite likely that we are going to be starting 2026 with a 200-WMA that is right around a minimum of $70k and we will be ending 2026 with likely a 200-WMA of right around $95k.. .. .. So sure  right now it still seems quite possible that we coudl be visiting or revising sub $100k prices, unless we are lucky enough to experience some kinds of upcoming BTC price runs that can drag the 200-WMA to higher levels.

There's gotta be some potential bettables in there.


I got some dips too..  at variety of places:

1) upper $106ks
2) right around $105k
3) at upper $102ks
4) at mid $101ks

I have not gotten the lower 100ks yet..

nor the lower $98ks, yet.

and then my buy orders are every $3k-ish after the lower $98k-ish one,.. which I am wondering how outrageous it might be to get any buy orders filling in the sub $100ks?  I would rather not fill them, yet sure, it is possible that they could fill, and could even be close to 50/50 odds that some sub $100k buy orders could fill.  Perhaps?