I doubt if there is much benefit for guys to be considering what the BTC price might or might not do.  Of course, guys in their first whole cycle likely should be accumulating no matter what, and sure, I don't have any problem with the idea of having extra buy orders for dips that may or may not happen....

Regarding 2, 3 or 4 years down the road, I would think that if guys are currently buying, then any new buys would have at least a 4 year timeline.. .but yeah, sure if they have already been buying for a few years, then they are considering the BTC that they had already bought.. for example, we can look at the 200-WMA in order to approximate what the average price that a guy might have who has largely been accumulating BTC for the past 4 years.. (which is right around $49k .. and yeah, there could be some variance depending on if the guy had front-loaded his bitcoin investment at various points that might have had brought down his average BTC buy price.. perhaps, perhaps?

And a guy who had been accumulating BTC longer than 4 years, such as 6 or 8 years, then his average buy price should be even lower, such as $20k and/or $10k or lower such as $6k.. so the longer in, the lower average costs per BTC... I think that guys probably need to have had been accumulating greater than  8 years and maybe in the supra 10 years arena to get into the less than $3k per coin or the less than $1k per coin average costs, and I doubt that there is any meaningful ability or likelihood to bring down average cost per BTC by attempting selling rather than ongoing buying... at least in the sense that average costs per BTC is likely not as important as how many BTC you have been able to accumulate and hang onto... so I might be getting lured into overly giving weight to average costs per BTC when that will likely work itself out by how long you have been in rather than fucking around trying to time BTC price movements.