The Nations League is giving Vitinha a slight advantage, but my best bet is Ousmane Dembele. The French team didn't do well in the competition, but it shouldn't be a strong reason for Dembele not to win the award. Ronaldo is in the first twenty power ranking, but his chances are slim, even if he led Portugal to win the Nations League. We will all leave it to the voters to determine who deserves it because this year's awards look highly competitive.
If a player like Rodri for Manchester City deserves it last season, then a midfielder who has done more likewise achieved more than Rodri also deserves it. Vitinha has been superb for both club and country. But then, Ousman Dembele will be voted in my opinion. The Ballon d'Or is purely back by PR because why will Barcelona fans project Lamine Yamal for the Ballon d'Or when Raphinha had numbers than him. Oliseh of Bayern Munich also had a better season than Lamine Yamal.
Cristiano Ronaldo will always say, numbers is everything, same goes to statistics is always correct and if you check, Raphinha also merits this above Lamine Yamal.