Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: It's bad to rely your decisions on game odds.
by
Fortify
on 26/06/2025, 19:52:02 UTC
This post isn't as the usual when asked if "Cash out or Not"Huh because this player has already taken his decision by cashing out.

A friend just shared his experience on the just concluded Real Madrid vs Al-Hilal FIFA Club World 2025 World Cup and called his move a smart one.
I believe he must have been following the game live before he could make this successful cashout in the odd time at "90" minutes otherwise I believe in the next second or minute the cashout would had been unavailable.
He said he wasn't concerned about the 3% profit made but glad he recovered his capital because he never saw the disappointment of Real Madrid coming earlier.

As can see was a running game and Man City already delivered but Real Madrid almost fetched him total lost that would had ended him regretting if not he cashed out before the game ended.

Here's the point I want us to discuss; He said he was confident that Real Madrid will win the game because at the time he placed the bet Real Madrid had 1.40 odds with Al-Hilal on 13 odds. So the distance margin convinced him that Real Madrid would win while at last game ended 1:1.
Let me hear from y'all. What's your take on making decisions by team odds without considering their performance records?
I also want us to note that the bookmakers sometimes hide some teams strengths by making them feel like an underdog with higher odds strategies which I believe that caught my guy on trap.

This is the difference between someone who is smart with gambling and someone who just resigns themselves to fate. We all make many choices every single day and the most successful people try to emulate the best decisions, applying their learned knowledge in new and dynamic situations. If you are watching the game and see that the major favorites before the game are now struggling, I'd rather take a 3% profit, or even a 20% loss than a full 100% loss on a bet - which is the usual black and white outcome. Most people overestimate their skills and over confidence blinds them to the obvious situation unfolding in front of them. Your friend would be very wise to cash out, because a favorite with that much advantage should have been knocking goals in all game.