Sure, you can complain about the matter, yet to me there seems to be quite a bit of futility to be fighting the matter of who is coming to bitcoin and how much they may or may not end up pumping our bags..


$150k comes off as barely enough to cause vapourminer to dust off the griddle in order to throw an extra egg and jumbo shrimp into his ramen.

is XPHorizon and his grandma going to upgrade to full milk to go with his cookies based on that?  Oh I forgot.  That dweeb forgot to buy any cornz.  That's gotta suck, even with ONLY around a 40% price appreciation between here and $150k.. .. and another thing. .less than a doubling seems almost insignificant.

If we merely consider our bottom of $15,479 from 2022, we have come nearly 7x.. so what is another 40%.

Even if we start from a more modest $27k jumping off point from October 2023, we are still around 4x.. so what is another 40% added onto that?. $150k.. but still... is it really very much diferent from the $107k-ish where we are already at.

I am not even saynging that we are not going higher, since $150k seems a kind of given, and sure I suppose I will get excited just like all price discovery has a bit of excitement in it.. just like coming from $74k-ish in early November and rising up to $109.3k-ish in January and then up to $112k from right around 5 weeks ago.. nothing wrong with those ground breaking moments of plowing into new price territories.


Accordingly, we get to $155k and then we get some major correction.

You gotta be selling in increments for this kind of nonsense.

Who do I know who is selling in increments rather than waiting to blow the wadd at some aspirational price point?

Mirror, mirror on the wall who is the incrementalist.. blah blah blah... of all... ?

#askingforafriend


They would still end up with a shitton of bitcoin, and surely a decent number of those coins are debt free (and would be debt free).  Of course, I do not know all of the details..... the price of their stocks would then just end up having parity rather than a premium, right?


Personally, I would not consider a blow off top or a hight that is 1st or 2nd quarter of 2026  rather than 3rd or 4th quarter of 2025 to be a material enough break to call it "the end of the cycle" or a "supercycle"

but yeah guys will do all kinds of dances to claim insight to some kind of a supposed novel insight...

And, sure, bitcoin has run a fairly tight ship, historically, yet that the same time, there has always been some level of variation that can be pointed to in terms of describing various peaks and corrections within the cycle.

Of course, on a personal level, the way that we are holding our BTC should have enough flexibility that it is sufficiently prepared for a variety of scenarios.. whether we perceive that the cycle ends up ending early or dragging out for a quarter or two longer than we had been expecting.


I will grant you that if this particular cycle were to not finish its lil selfie until 3rd or even 4th quarter 2026 (meaning no major correction or drug out correction) that would be an interesting variation of the pattern that might challenge some of us (including yours truly) into considering that something might be wrong with our friendly "bitcoin's cycle theory."


Wow!!!!!

Even fat chubby chicas can fly.


I am not sure if that is going to work... but it may well end up removing a lot of us from our coins...

part of the reason that I don't tend to get very excited about any theories that involve practices of selling coin.


That is the version of "we" that you wished were going to exist..

Yet, I doubt that your ongoing proclamation that the 4-ish year cycle is gone, or disappearing, is going to contribute to the cycle actually disappearing - as an actual thing.. .. even if you really, really, really, really want it to disappear.