Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: It's bad to rely your decisions on game odds.
by
Felicity_Tide
on 27/06/2025, 13:01:27 UTC
~snip

Let me hear from y'all. What's your take on making decisions by team odds without considering their performance records?

I'm not sure though, but I feel it's a form of bias. You just want to believe that a team has what it takes to win a game even though they've being below average for long(I'm not saying Madrid now). I saw that alot last season, where people would predict for their team or a bigger side to win a game despite their poor performance and H2H.

The thing is, it doesn't matter even if it's the team that you support. They should be judge with their previous performance, injuries, and previous records as well. When you clearly know that a certain key player is not available, I think that should raise a doubt if a team can win a game, and not just assuming that they can win despite the absence of a key player.

I didn't watch the Madrid game, and at the same time, I don't know how good the Saudi side is. There are literally other factors that I would have probably considered like Real Madrid defensive injuries, and the new manager playing his first game. I can't just say because they are madrid, then I will have to give them the win. We all saw how they suffered last season with the too many injuries.

I believe if bettors can learn to make their own analysis and follow up with every happenings, they won't have to rely on whatever odd that is given by bookmarkers.

Quote
I also want us to note that the bookmakers sometimes hide some teams strengths by making them feel like an underdog with higher odds strategies which I believe that caught my guy on trap.

I'm not really sure about them hiding certain things, but I have heard that these bookmarkers gets some info before games(like few minutes to), that sometimes lead to changing the odds. An example was the FA cup finals last season between City and Palace.