The Nations League is giving Vitinha a slight advantage, but my best bet is Ousmane Dembele. The French team didn't do well in the competition, but it shouldn't be a strong reason for Dembele not to win the award. Ronaldo is in the first twenty power ranking, but his chances are slim, even if he led Portugal to win the Nations League. We will all leave it to the voters to determine who deserves it because this year's awards look highly competitive.
Dembele also deserves it, of course, but now it has become so difficult to see what the criteria are for a Ballon d'Or that they repeatedly tell us that Lamine Yamal or Pedri from Barcelona will win this, just as they did with Rodri from City, a total farce and mockery in my opinion.}