I guess India is still a favourite for now, they started 2nd inning with 64 runs and 9 wickets left. If they could get like another 400 then they should be safe
add on , they started 2nd inning with 64 runs and 9 wickets left + 180 runs lead from 1st inning , so they currently lead by 244 runs with 9 wicket left ..they will most probably go for 500 & give England around 100 overs to chase it.