That is very true, I have come to realize that now. When I first heard about Bitcoin, I thought it was just about buying and waiting for it to go up. But after starting, I saw there is a lot more process involved, like timing, planning, and understanding the market. I have made some wrong moves, uild my knowledge slowly and stay consistent.
What you are saying now makes you look like a trader, as a newbie that just want to invest into Bitcoin, all you just need is the basic knowledge about Bitcoin and what accumulating strategy that best suit you income, by timing, planning and understanding the market as you said, it makes you looks like a trader that is thinking on how to outsmart the market which is very much unlikely, it's only traders that does those timing of a thing, all you should have to do is to buy anytime your discretionary income is available, waiting or timing the market is one shitty behavior you must avoid if you really want to be successful in accumulating a very good stash of Bitcoin.