Ok... Fair enough.  The staggering is an improvement to what I had considered that you were planning to do, but your amount of sales in such a small price range seems to hardly accomplish the purpose of having a staggering.. which usually would be smaller amounts spread over a larger area.. .. but yeah, even though the starting sell price seems low, I can see that there can be real world desires that people have, and 25% of your stash is not going to kill you, anyhow.. and it seems that you have mauled over the idea of selling at least this whole cycle and maybe even including your having had mauled over it part of last cycle, too (since you acdtually executed some version of it in the last cycle).

Your expectations to be able to buy back at lower prices seems a bit much, but yeah, I understand that you are not completely expecting to buy back.. but you are likely going to try to be ready to buy back in case the price does end up going down further (or staying down longer) than any of us expect.

Right now, I will be willing to bet you that the BTC price never goes below $70k ever again (but for the purposes of such bet we could allow it to close out sometime  around or before the 2028 halvening..  Sure, I know it is possible to go down that low, since in a bull market the BTC price tends to stay at least 25% above the 200-WMA, and right now the 200-WMA is just under $50k... so that only gives us $62.5k as our current 25% above the 20-WMA price point. 

Once the bear market comes, and who knows when then might come, then the BTC price could go down to the 200-WMA or even below the 200-WMA (and in 2022, we had 35% below the 200-WMA, and since the 200-WMA is currently ONLY moving up right around $50 per day, then if it does not pick up in its rate of moving up, we might ONLY be experiencing a 200-WMA slightly above $60k at the end of the year... which does make $60k theoretically possible.. but I will still bet you that we never go below $70k again... even though many of us likely realize that some of the blow up of various bitcoin treasury strategies could well contribute towards high levels of BTC price corrections in the coming months, even if it might take them a year to start to get into cascading fallings of BTC treasury companies and the dragging down of BTC prices with their cascading liquidations.


No.  You might not know.

We are all likely broken in one way or another... Surely, some folks are more self-aware than others and some folks are more broken than others, and so there are surely levels. 

I am not claiming to know the answers even though I am pretty sure that I have met folks on both sides of the spectrum relative to myself and relative to my own situation.


Yep.. Just on a general note, LFC is likely selling too much too soon, but that is on him, and he surely knows his own situation better than any of us.


It may also mean that ATHs are coming in the dollar earlier than the other currencies, but all time highs are also likely going to be coming in other currencies, too.

But, yeah, who knows?  Merely the fact that the dollar is currently losing value to other currencies may not have a lot of significance in terms of new ATHs for bitcoin in those other (non-dollar) currencies, which means such all time highs in other currencies may happen and they might not (just like you mentioned, which means that the difference in the various currencies is likely not very relevant in regards to what the BTC price may or may not end up doing.