You are right about AI and sports predictions while AI is great at looking at numbers and past trends it struggles to correctly predict sports especially football because games are so unpredictable. AI can show you stats and team forms but it mostly misses key human factors and last minute changes that really affect match like main player getting injured team mood changing or bad referee call which AI can not truly understand.
This is why if you know sport well you will likely win more bets than you lose as knowledgeable person can consider things like player usual impact or team spirit which AI can not easily put into its calculations proving that human understanding still has edge in predicting sports outcomes.