You ask for logic.. this is the hard reality.
It’s not really a secret anymore since it’s being shared openly, it’s more like bait to lure people in, either to scam them or get them to buy a subscription. As for me, the simple logic I’ve learned in sports betting is: don’t overanalyze. Sometimes the best move is to just read the lines and avoid overthinking things. No need for complicated handicapping as often, the smarter play is just to go against the public, because public perception is usually off.