If we're talking about simple logic, the stronger team, with the better players in the lineup, can be choose as the favorite for winning the match. Without analysis, without any thought, just based on the logic and paper, the stronger team, maybe wins. However, logic in gambling doesn't exist. Because, on-field results aren't solely determined by the strength of the team; the team's trends can influence your logical choice, but not winning in matches results.
If you’ve actually been betting for a while, you’ll know it’s not just about picking who wins. Picking the favorite or underdog is the easy part, and yeah, most of the time favorites do win, that’s obvious just by looking at the data.
But we’re not just betting straight-up wins, we’re dealing with betting lines, especially point spreads. That’s where it really gets tricky. If you’ve been playing ATS , you already know how tough it is. No simple logic or surface-level analysis is gonna give you consistent wins. It’s a grind, and there’s no shortcut.