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Do you think we will see 200k by the end of this year?
Not a chance. We'll get there eventually, but not in this cycle. Even $150k might be too optimistic.
Looking at the past cycles, a +67% move may not sound like much (that's what we need to get to the $200k from where we are now), but pulling that off with such a high market cap is a completely different story.
That being said, apparently the long term holding adresses are the highest they have been in the last 15 years and they hold ~74% of all bitcoins. Moreover, they are still accumulating, which is unusual for this stage of the cycle. If the supply shock kicks in, we could see some fireworks after all.