
I’ve posted about the blue “triangle oscillator” previously. Its highs correspond to highs on the btc price chart. For a long time I’ve also been trying to come up with an algo that identifies the transition from bear to bull. Finally did it this morning, and it was dead simple: the red trace equals -1 times the half cycle moving average of the triangle wave oscillator. In this backtest, a vertical bar marks each transition signal, which comes at the oscillator minimum. A local minimum marks the dip in the 2021 double top too. Not that I think I could have traded that signal. Clear in hindsight but it would have been confusing at the time.