Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
JayJuanGee
on 18/07/2025, 05:04:50 UTC
@CryptoJelleNL
Expansion comes in waves.
A little chop after an aggressive breakout is completely normal.

Expecting a new leg higher soon - targeting $130k.

https://x.com/cryptojellenl/status/1945748935177326959
Pretty much bang on the nose where I will start selling off 25% of my stash.
Ready!

For sure any of us can have dilemmas including dilemmas that are partially motivated by seeing what others are doing.  Surely I could not go as seeminly extreme as you LFC, yet I consider that maybe I could ramp up my sales higher.. but I am not sure if I can do it.   I have most of my sell orders established up to $500k-ish, and i even upped them a couple of times.. Yet, at the same time, I have still been having dilemmas because I am ONLY selling a few percent of my stash all the way up to $500k-ish.. .. maybe I moved up from 2% to 2.6%. .but that is probably too low.... ..

And sure 25% is not totally unreasonable, even though the range of the sales seems too low.. even though you mentioned that you would continue to sell beyond the 25% if the price keeps going up... which truly could end up happening, but we surely don't know either..... but lately you have been thinking about a shorter sell time.. like the top might come prior to October/November, and that might end up being correct, but I am not going to give up on the idea that the top could drag out longer into the first quarter or the second quarter of 2026.. even though that theory did not play out very well in the last cycle... but I will tentatively have that possibility in mind.

@CryptoJelleNL
Expansion comes in waves.
A little chop after an aggressive breakout is completely normal.

Expecting a new leg higher soon - targeting $130k.

https://x.com/cryptojellenl/status/1945748935177326959
Pretty much bang on the nose where I will start selling off 25% of my stash.
Ready!
you really had good intuition last cycle, if I remember correctly.  I was quite impressed with that shot of yours!

however, although I know absolutely nothing, 130k sounds just a tad low to me ...  but maybe that's just wishful thinking on my side..

Yeah but LFC is making something like 5 sales between $125k and $150k.. so it would not be all at once, and then he is going to continue to sell if it goes up further, presumptively smaller percentages of his stash.

Maybe not exactly what Philip suggested, but something in that ballpark:

[edited out]
Are you going to ladder sell it.
5%  AT 130
5% at 135
5% at 140
5% at 145
5% at 150
Good luck in the sales