I think the cards are stacked in Ousmane Dembélé's favor. He deserves it for all his achievements, although I have another player I'd like to see there, and that's Vítor Ferreira. I don't think Lamine has achieved enough to deserve a Ballon d'Or. I think there's just media overvaluation going on here. Maybe he'll do better in the future, since he's young and has promising talent.
Agree with everything you said here. When you look at the season PSG just had, it has to be Dembele or Vitinha.
There’s no way it can be Yamal. He is probably the most talented out of those three, with the highest ceiling but he was not better than them this season.
I think Dembélé will win this, but it doesn't mean that Yamal doesn't deserve it. If you are looking at achievements, Dembélé will win because he achieved so much with PSG this season. In the other hand, Yamal was sensational this season also, if you doubt me, check the number of blue star he go this season. In almost all the matches, he hits 9+ rating which is rare to achieve.
The major reasons that will deny Yamal the balloon d'Or is the believe that he is still young and can still win Balloon d'Or in the future. But that is not a great reason because many things changes drastically more than we expect. Yamal could flop or a better talent could be discovered.