La Liga is filled with unpredictable outcomes I must confess. Early predictions came in too early? I do agree with your predictions based on the current statistics and standings. Hansi Flick have made every possible scene to ensure he's having a greater team for next season. They've smashed records and becoming the dream clubs of most of these footballers coming up. Barcelona have made name for themselves following the crucial performance and how they're winning titles. They're bigger than every oppositions except for Real Madrid that have become a burden for them.
Statistically, Hansi Flick has a much better chance of retaining the title than Xabi Alonso because the players have generally adapted to him. On the other hand, Xabi Alonso may still need to adapt and find a suitable strategy to implement. However, no one knows for sure the final result because in the previous season, many predicted Real Madrid would win La Liga, but it turned out otherwise. Real Madrid and Barcelona will once again be competing for the title, and it remains difficult to determine who has the better chance.
As we can see , the La Liga title is mostly rotated between Barcelona and Real Madrid and looking at the structure of both teams, it isn't certain as to which one of them will win the title next season because despite that Barcelona won the title last season but i think it will be a different experience since Real Madrid have changed their coach to Xabi Alonso which will make Real Madrid to either upgrade in performance or decline. Though Xabi Alonso was not successful in the Club World Cup that Real Madrid played but we can't test his ability using the CWC games. The new season will soon start, after the first half of the season we will know which side the title will be pointing at.