Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL!
by
JayJuanGee
on 28/07/2025, 01:12:38 UTC

The above picture is correct, it is not as easy as we think, we think we will buy Bitcoin and hold it. But past history shows that holding Bitcoin has to face various problems, as shown in the picture above. But if we have a long-term mindset, then holding Bitcoin will be like a straight road. On the other hand, if we have a short-term plan, then it will seem like a winding road, which will not be possible for us to hold for a long time. So everyone can invest but not everyone can hold for a long time. So if we want to invest in Bitcoin, we have to make a long-term plan, which will bring success in the future.
What I can say about both visuals is that there is no finish line for Bitcoin. The journey continues forever. The longer you hold on to it, the more you earn. You don't even have to sell it, your money keeps increasing in value. If you focus on the big picture instead of worrying too much about short-term (2-3 year) declines, you will be on the winning side.
Most people suffer losses because they cannot take a long-term view.

If we take a long term view, and we also recognize that there are going to be ups and downs along the way, then we figure out our position size so that we are not feeling over invested and that we can keep buying through the whole period... so then perhaps after 4-10 years or longer we are able to see progress in the amount of bitcoin that we hold, and we had not gotten shaken out of our position during that time.

It is better to still be in the game after 4-10 years or longer rather than scrambling to recover whatever ways that we might have had over done it, and also if we Under do it, then we might have regrets, too.. We have to find a balance that is sufficiently aggressive, but not so aggressive that we are going to become overly emotional about our investment through the ups and downs along the way.. which also might include extended periods of nonperformance that could be a combination of down and failure to go up.

[edited out]
Yes thats for sure, Bitcoin journey is not always rosey, its journey is not a smooth ride but continuous investment without looking how rough the movement is for the long term will make it look as if it's a smooth ride. Let's take for example starting from the Early part of 2011 till date, Bitcoin has experience Alot of ups and down, which if a person decide to panic during this mountain and valley movement, may sell too soon. maybe the person will not be patient to HODL this long. But if such person don't mind the ups and down and continue buying and HODLing till date, he will be super rich compeard to a person who panic and sold and buy again repeatedly.

We do not have to go back to 2011 to find examples of guys who either sold too much BTC too soon or they failed/refused to buy bitcoin at various points along the way when the could have either achieved overaccumulation status or have had been working towards achieving overaccumulation status.

Of course, there are guys who repeatedly made the same mistake of selling too much of their bitcoin too soon, and then failed to re-accumulate.. Considered that it was too late to establish a bitcoin position.. and those guys perhaps will take a long time to learn that they should be accumulating bitcoin at any price, not selling it even if the process might take a while to get to overaccumulation status. as compared with some guys at some point learn along the way that they need to focus on ongoingly buying bitcoin not selling it and just continuing to buy it.. .. and sure in the beginning bitcoin accumulating guys might not always be in the positive in regards to their bitcoin holdings, yet is seems that after 4-10 years or longer of continuing to accumulate bitcoin through buying and not selling any of it, at some point they are going to get to a level of bitcoin accumulation in which they have enough bitcoin or more than enough bitcoin. .and their bitcoin status will help to inform them how to go forward from there in regards to either being in maintenance status or perhaps at some later point being able to employ sustainable withdrawal to the extent those kinds of practices might be within their way of dealing with their BTC stash..