The Russian economy is basically oil, gas, grain and weapons. The Russian industrial military complex is what keeps the Russian economy growing. I don't know what will happen, after the war in Ukraine ends. Maybe the Russian economy would adapt pretty fast, or maybe there will be some short term recession in Russia.
Is that with the presumption that Russia has won the war or has lost the war? Losing the war would definitely mean all the resources spent/used, but NO reward. Winning the war would mean control of 35% of the world's source for carbohydrates.
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By launching a large-scale attack on Ukraine in February 2022 with the aim of eliminating it as a state, the Russian Federation signed its own death warrant. Most likely, in a few years, the Russian Federation will cease to exist and disintegrate into a number of sovereign states. All the peoples that Russia has conquered over the past few centuries will leave its composition, taking advantage of the weakening of the central government as a result of this protracted war.
Russia currently occupies about 20 percent of Ukraine's territory. Moreover, over the past two years, it has managed to occupy only about one percent of Ukraine's territory, which indicates its inability to capture Ukraine.
Ukraine is rapidly developing a new branch of the military - the Unmanned Systems Forces, which burn out everything that moves on the front line to a depth of 30 kilometers. The Armed Forces of Ukraine have already successfully recorded fully robotic attacks, when only ground and air robots, controlled by people many kilometers from the front line, go on the offensive. That is why the US recently signed a contract with Ukraine to purchase relatively cheap drones worth several billion dollars, since the US is already seriously lagging behind in this type of weaponry.
Ukraine now attacks military and energy facilities of Russia almost every day with drones up to 2000 kilometers deep into its territory, and this is very painful for it.
Of course, Russia is also gaining invaluable experience in waging modern warfare. But it has already lost over 1,064,000 of its troops, virtually the entire professional army, more than 11,000 tanks and 23,000 armored vehicles, more than 31,000 artillery systems, that is, almost the entire arsenal of armored vehicles from the times of the USSR, everything that was accumulated for decades for a future war with NATO. Now about 40 percent of the shells that Russia uses on the front are already supplied from North Korea.
Russia continues to attack with continuous waves of manpower, mostly on foot or on motorcycles and scooters, but they are not endless. Therefore, the wounded are sent into repeated assaults, often on crutches. The battles are fierce on both sides, when they try not to take prisoners, and those captured are often shot on the spot.
Putin will try to pass off any outcome of this war as a victory. Therefore, the Kremlin is already preparing to present its vision of its end to the people, banning certain social networks and the Internet.