That is very good way to look at next season in Bundesliga. It is likely that Dortmund will finish in top four but most interesting part will be fight for second place. You are right that there is big difference in strength between Bayern Munich and rest of league. This could give Dortmund chance to finish second if they have strong season. However as you mentioned teams like Leipzig and others are serious competitors. Race for top spots below Bayern is going to be very tough and those teams will definitely be challenge for both Dortmund and Bayern next season.
I will not be surprised if eventually Bayern Munich looses out on this seasons Bundesliga title but with leipzig, and Dortmund I do not have a particular, they both frequent the top four positions on the table often, it will be almost like a norm if it happens that both of them eventually finishes top four or even either of them but with the title Leverkusen even looks more viable than this other two for the title.
I'd be very surprised if Bayern Munich doesn't win the cup this year. The expectation from Bayern is that they win the championship again this year and achieve even better results in the UCL. Kompany develops various tactics for the UCL in league matches. I'd say his only goal this year is to succeed in the UCL with Bayern.