Every beginner should focus on the ongoing buying of bitcoin instead of engaging yourself into monitoring the market because majority of the beginners that was going with this practice end up selling thier holdings in the middle of thier accumulating journey due to panick, As they can't withstand the pressure so to avoid putting yourself in this kind of pressure I would advise you just Stick to your weekly/ monthly buying of bitcoin and pay less attention to the market condition until you reach your investment goal that's if you don't want to be trapped in the middle of your accumulating journey just like other guys.
But you have to be calculative when buying like, when the price of bitcoin is $122,000, definitely it would come down to $119,000 or $118,000 which is the the current stable price of bitcoin so once it hit that lower amount you can buy it and you keep it for long term investment plan.
This your calculation means nothing to me. It only encourages newbies to wait so they can buy the dip, which is the wrong idea. What you're trying to say is that any price a new coiner sees for Bitcoin, they should not start investing, but rather wait for the price to come down. This is how some newbies keep delaying and never start their Bitcoin investment on time.
Waiting for a dip is just a waste of time, and I would never advise any newbie to do any silly calculations because nobody can predict Bitcoin. It is very possible that the price a new coiner sees at the time might never drop again, but instead continue increasing.So, my advice to newbies is this: whatever price they see Bitcoin at should be seen as a great opportunity to start buying. They should use the DCA (Dollar-Cost Averaging) method and not wait for further dipsbecause it may never happen.