Sadly, the vote will be based on the panelist's opinion. I don't think his achievement last season would give a lot of impact, though Dembele has been the lowest odds compared to the his competitors. I won't be surprised if he not be winning it, but it'll be Yamal or Raphinha that will win it. It's pretty often the panelist of Ballon D'or was not giving fair rating. Don't be surprised if he gets no Ballon D'or.