Post
Topic
Board Economics
Re: We're experiencing the least volatile Bitcoin bull market ever.
by
d5000
on 20/08/2025, 16:35:39 UTC
Aaand another bump. After several new ATHs in the last 4 months since the last post you could expect a volatility increase? Wrong.

Not only is the title still a fact. But the 30-day volatility actually registered a new low not only for 2025, but also for all the period since mid-2023: 0.96%.


Source

The dip under 1% is actually the third lowest volatility since 2017 [1], after July/August 2023 (0.73%, the all time low) and October 2023 (0.91%). And it is much more noteworthy because this new low occurs at an unusually late point of the bull market (almost 3 years after the last notable low in late 2022), when normally wild price swings happen and sentiment shifts between new paradigm dreams and crash fears week after week ...

60-day volatility is also low, at 1.27%. That's just the same value than the 2023 low. It is still above the 2016 low of 1.14%, still the all time low. See below.



[1] Previous to 2017 there were actually 3 other moments where 30 day volatility dipped below 1: in January 2013 and in April and October 2016. This also coincides with the 60-day all time low mentioned above. However, shortly after these dips volatility surged again, it was very likely only a low activity phase on the still immature markets back then. In 2016 for example, MtGox had just closed, and it took some time until other exchanges reached significant activity.