Putin's Russia, having launched a full-scale attack on Ukraine in February 2022, was counting on a quick and victorious war, but it fell into a trap from which it has no good way out. Further prolongation of the war for at least another six months threatens an economic catastrophe and the disintegration of the Russian Federation into a number of small states, in which Muscovy will remain within the borders of several regions and will lose its former greatness and international influence.

This is already starting the process of global redistribution of influence in the world and will have a great impact on the countries of Europe. They are already drawn into this war in a certain way and Russia's defeat in it opens up certain positive prospects for them.