Pakistan won thanks to bit of luck and bowlers in great form but this was not convincing game. Their batsmen did not perform well to place high total, but bowling department did well enough at other end to win match by margin of three runs. Any win is positive, nevertheless, it is important to note that this win reveals area of improvement in batting lineup. You were also right on great bowling by Nepal which captured nine wickets. In the end, you view this game as learning experience to Pakistan, experience that teaches them of what they can work on to be more complete unit.
Now you can say that Pakistan is in the semi final stages, all the fixtures of Pakistan Shaheens has been finished and three more games are left that are not going to affect the Pakistan position in the point table. Yes there is 0.001 percent chance that Pakistan would be out of the league but it would be so rare so should not discuss about this.
The strongest team of this league so far is the Chicago Kingsmen, leading the table very well, having 10 points, and still their single game is left that is being played today. They have batted first and made 162 runs. I think this can turn out to be a match winning score against Hobart Hurricanes Academy.