I predict the fight will go to the 12 round, with a Canelo Alvarez victory by a narrow points margin.
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Or maybe similar to the GGG-Canelo first fight result? One judge scored it for Canelo, one for GGG, and the third judge scored it a draw. And the aftermath? we demanded a rematch. And then the infamous one judge, Adalaide Byrd, who scored 118-110 for Canelo was scorned upon by the boxing community and if I'm not mistaken, he was ban or suspended to be a judge after that fight. I mean, what the hell did she watch to scored that lopsided score when it's clearly very close and there are rounds that are hard to score? And that's where corruption enter the picture here. As maybe prior to the fight, she already had Canelo in the bag because she might have been paid off. And I think majority here will agree that GGG should have won the first fight.
It can be a split draw similar to what you have said, it can also be a unanimous draw where all of the judges have declared a draw or it can be a majority draw where 2 of 3 judges have declared the fight a draw and 1 of the judges have declared Canelo or Bud Crawford the winner.
On your story about the corrupt judge, this proves that Las Vegas does not want Canelo to lose. However, Las Vegas also does not want Bud Crawford to lose hehehehehe. They might pay 2 judges to make it certain that the fight will be a draw hehehehe.
We will see then as who's going to be favored by the Las Vegas crowd or judge. But I was still under the impression that Canelo is the cash cow and so if push comes to shove, they will still rewarded Canelo that big win against Crawford. They can even disguise the win as Canelo is the favorite to win and so we can't do anything about it if they really wanted him to win. They almost got away with it, remember the fight against Bivol, there were judges that wanted to make it appear that it was a close fight, but we all know that Canelo lost it and it's just one sided. And we can see the reaction of Bivol that time as if he just escape and took the win when most of the fans sees him winning with a big margin.