Your favorite order is correct and as a Real Madrid fan I agree. However this order isn't completely permanent, as we're just starting the season. So if Real Madrid undergoes significant changes for the better and can prove their squad is capable of defeating Barcelona, especially in El Clasico matches then Madrid chances will increase. The rivalry between these two teams can be seen in the results of El Clasico matches and before that happens, no final result is certain.
It's hard for me to believe that there is a team in La Liga right now that can beat Barcelona. I don't want to say that Real is a weak team or that they have become worse or weaker with Alonso, but objectively it seems to me that they haven't gotten rid of their long-standing problems in defense yet and in addition they have weaknesses in the midfield, and given this it will be difficult for them to compete with Barcelona, which in addition to a well-equipped and well-played team has a bench that is capable of fully replacing the main players.