I honestly wish to favour Benfica on this, I see them as a team that will want to utilise their home advantage to the maximum and they have a good squad by the way, this is not to make anyy less of Fernabahce, but only that from my perspective I see that Benfica is at advantage, one in which they are not willing to let slide but Fernabache will make it a tough one for them and be sure to expect a goal from both sides.
Benfica is a team that frequently plays in the Champions League, and vice versa for Fernabache. Personally, I prefer Benfica because I see this team always gives me hope when I place a bet, but Fernabache is also a team that can trouble them even at home. This time, I see a different opportunity, and perhaps Fernabache could beat or draw with Benfica, so betting on it might be a bit riskier, but if you dare to take the risk betting directly for Benfica to win is also good.
On stats and probably past records, i think Benfica looks more at qualifying and aslo for the fact that they are actually doing quite well too as they have been on the winning side. This particular match no doubt will be filled with lots of tension too and a draw is looking more to happen but as for general qualifications i think Benfica might just scale through and get a place in the Champions League draws.