Russian Central Bank in crisis, ATM only open at certain times, money transfer restrictions
State TV hacked
Fuel crises some refineries already burning for days 17% of production kaboomed
Russia falling apart from within, Deathonomics,. plus
Some villages retaken by Ukraine
Production of Flamingo cruise missile increase, Neptune missile (1k range) ready for mass production
What collapses first Ukraine defence or Russian economy
Whoever counts on Ukraine defence "collapsing" is high on hopium.
Ruzzia's economy is in bad shape, it may however take a year to get it to the point in which the Kremlin considers that sufficient to stop. Unless... unless the cost is so high and the avance so slow that it simly does not make sense.
Alternatively, there is always a chance of Putin retiring for "health reasons" related to a shot in the head for example.