Not sure if this should be under bitcoin topic or here lol. But there have been platforms,
namely kalshi's prediction market and polymarket, have listed similar bets about El Salvador's bitcoin holdings. Both platforms have listed that El Salvador will have a total of $1 Billion worth of bitcoin by the end of 2025. The odds are pretty interesting. Now Bukele has found out about this and seems to be hinting on social media. But do you genuinely believe El Salvador can magically get to a billion worth of bitcoin? They currently have over $700 Million. They would only need $300 million more. To me it seems a lot. To a country like El Salvador, that isn't easy money either. Would you bet on this?
With the IMF loan that has anti Bitcoin clauses, I am not sure El Salvador will be able to make it to $1Billoin worth of Bitcoin. This international lending organisation is slowing downs the countries Bitcoin policy But does this bet only include them buying because it is possible that if the price of Bitcoin grows it might hit that amount. Polymarket is known for weird bets but I think this one is reasonable.