I’m pretty active in football betting and would like to hear your thoughts on which soccer leagues you find the most predictable and the most unpredictable when it comes to betting.
There are so many leagues out there, and some seem to have patterns that make them easier to predict.
For example, in my experience Turkish Super Lig and Portuguese Primeira Liga are a bit more predictable compared to let's say Premier League or La Liga, which often feel more volatile.
So, I’m asking community:
1)Which leagues do you find the most predictable in terms of match outcomes?
2)And which leagues are the most unpredictable, where you can’t always rely on teams' form or stats?
This is a dynamic process plus a subjective assessment. For example, if you bet on favorites, then in recent years Serie A has been the most unpredictable since the entire top group of teams often lost points (the percentage of points scored for top teams was lower than in other championships). If we are talking about bets on average teams and games between them, then it seems to me that the situation is similar everywhere.
For me now the most predictable league (top teams) is La Liga, then the Premier League, then Serie A, then the Bundesliga.