There have been good articles lately that cover all the scenarios, this one in particular caught my attention:

Back in 2017, that retest marked the final shakeout before BTC price rocketed to $20,000.
Fast-forward to today, and Bitcoin is once again hovering near a multimonth base between $105,000 and $110,000, a level that could be the launchpad for another parabolic leg upward.
I also like the idea that in 4 or 6 more weeks the price of BTC could rise.

Analyst ZYN suggests that Bitcoin could be on track for a fresh all-time high above $124,500 within the next 4–6 weeks, owing to these technical patterns that justify a potential rally in September.
cointelegraph:
https://cointelegraph.com/news/will-bitcoin-price-drop-in-septemberI've seen a lot of negativity from many analysts, people give up quickly.