because if you're smart enough you would know that bitcoin bullrun is going to end this year and 2026 is going to start the bearish market or downward flow of bitcoin.
The future is unpredictable, there is no guarantee that history will always repeat itself exactly, nor is there any regulation that requires bitcoin to follow a single pattern (4 year cycle). Everything can break or change, and it all depends on micro and macro factors.
Just like in this cycle, Bitcoin hit a new ATH before the halving and that has never happened in the past. Likewise, historically it is not wrong to say that we will enter bear season next year, but can any of us guarantee that it will definitely happen? History can repeat itself or be broken at any time.
That is absolutely correct and of course none of us here can really tell how the price or Bitcoin halving gonna be, everything is subjected to change and like you said above that we hit another ATH even before the halving. And Yes, about 99 percent of us here never expected that we could hit such price even before halving, even if there are people that has already predicted that Bitcoin price would soar they did that out of speculation and of course what most of us does here is purely speculation and they can't guarantee any given words here about Bitcoin prices.