Do you think that our odds for further down in September might be lessened if August had started out around $113k and ended slightly below $108k (something in the ballpark of a 4.5% drop)?
In the frame of your question, I think external forces are strong at the moment. I think the plans are for the USD dominance to be extended via stable coins. Not sure how fast this is coming, but I think it needs to be fast for it to be 'successful'. And even though BTC is the true value asset... most of the world (amazingly) still does not know. So this action is moving fast under the assumption
The powers that be know this however (I am starting to sound like Anonymint)
Theoretically it could be easier for September to end up from $108k, even though sure we have right around 14% in total to make up for if we want to get to another ATH, to the extent another ATH is still in the cards for September, October or perhaps later this calendar year (referring to 2025)?, but yeah we should not necessarily start counting our chickens too prematurely.
AKA I have no idea about the shorter term.