Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Merits 1 from 1 user
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
JayJuanGee
on 02/09/2025, 07:12:45 UTC
⭐ Merited by xhomerx10 (1)
By the way jbreher, recently I had mentioned you as a guy who seemed to be having difficulties with unit bias, so hopefully you have recently gotten over gifting bitcoin in 1 coin increments.  

I stopped gifting in 1 BTC increments when the $USD value of 1 BTC exceeded the IRS nontaxable gift maximums.

Fair enough.

Here are the USA nontaxable gift limitations through the past 45-ish years.



https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gift_tax_in_the_United_States

Back above 110K and running! Breaking through several days of resistance. If we go above 111K the recovery could be quick… All eyes on MSTR this week. I’m crossing my fingers for a big week and the next two weeks really. My 4-year cycle indicator is flashing that the cycle top is quickly approaching.
how often did we do from dec to sept in a 106k to 110k slot
1 time bro just this time.
the dynamics for a four year cycle are shot to hell.

You are preparing to get wrecked again based on your wanting to invent your own BTC price models?


silver mooning
copper mooning
btc flat for 10 months basically in the ATH range never happen.

You sound distracted.  Zoom out.

You want to get wrecked or what?

tell me that in 2013/2014 we did 10 months in a 1000-1300 slot nope
tell me that in 2017/18 we did 10 months in a 18-19.5k slot nope
tell me that in 2021/22 we did 10 months in a 58-69k slot nope

so fuck that four year cycle shit.

Perhaps this time is different than the previous times, but it does not negate the 4-year cycle, yet. Yeah of course, we cannot become overly reliant on the 4-year cycle, yet it seems crazy and premature to be throwing it out for blah blah blah reasons.

Even last cycle, everyone pouncing upon stock to flow because the 4-year cycle did not have a high enough top.. but if you look at the charts, the 4-year cycle seems to be continuing to go.. at least so far.

we grind along and peak way slower maybe Jan of 2027

perhaps.. and perhaps not.

I do like the idea of peaking later, and I am not even opposed to ongoing grinding up that maybe extends the cycle  another 1, 2, 3 or 4-ish quarters.  I still would not necessarily give up on the 4-year cycle, yet.

By the way, it becomes more and more difficult to have a crash if we don't get some kind of a blow off top.