I will never underestimate the teams that came from nowhere. However, i put my prediction for them to get three points from only a half of their total fixtures. It will become the highest points that can be achieved by them.
Kairat still possible to earn full points from Slavia, Olympiakos, Monaco, and Villareal.
Pafos may earn full points from Kairat, Olympiakos, monaco, Slavia.
Qarabag may only earn full points only from Copen and Ajax.
Those teams were having very hard fixtures. However, i admit Copenhagen is the unluckiest team in this round.
I think you overestimate the capabilities of Kairat Almaty and Pafos, maybe Pafos played well but I don't believe that they will be able to play in the group stage as well, because the level of opponents there is clearly higher. And Kairat Almaty got to the group stage with a lot of luck, so I think that they will be at the bottom of the tournament table, but getting to the group stage of the Champions League is already a great achievement for them, and they can be proud of it.