I don't follow basketball (I hate that sport ) so I'm not informed about the teams or the schedule I just checked and I see that Germany is in the best position to be the best team of the group stage. They have four wins with +134, while Serbia has also four wins and +71. Also, Serbia is playing against much better team (Turkey who also has four wins) than Germany. So it's looking good for my first point in this round (I went with Germany).