Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: What Would It Take to Trigger the Next Bull Run? Realistic Catalysts for 2026”
by
lionheart78
on 04/09/2025, 22:57:09 UTC

If you choose to believe the market will continue it's four year cycle that is on you.

True, but observant like us always look at the cycles and pattern of Bitcoin.  So far, the most noticeable is the 4-year cycle and has yet to be broken until today.  It is not on us, it is on market, as long as it keeps repeating people will believe in it until it is broken.

Quote
In order for btc to succeed down the road  the four year cycle must end.

Not entirely true, BTC can succeed even with the four-year cycle, since it is not the cycle that pushes Bitcoin to succeed but the adoption of people and institutions.  I do not think the end of the 4-year cycle will be the catalyst for Bitcoin's success since Bitcoin is already on its path to successful implementation unless something goes wrong along the way.

Why not have it end this cycle?

It is for us to see, since it is not on the individual to end the cycle, but on the market. I believe the effect of the halving is getting weaker as the block reward goes smaller, so it is possible that the 4-year cycle may diminish one day when the halving effect becomes obsolete.