For the past few days, I've been thinking about Barcelona's upcoming home match, but Barcelona's current form is a bit questionable.
Barcelona should have been able to win against Valencia, who are currently in poor form, but Barcelona's performance in their last match has left fans doubtful about the final result.
Barcelona fans' only hope is to see Barcelona win or at least draw rather than lose points completely.
Barcelona are the favourites, but there is no point in making a money bet at all. As you correctly noted, the team's shape is questionable. Secondly, this is a game after a break for national team games (the randomness of the results usually increases), thirdly, the odds for winning are so small that they cannot justify the risk. I'd rather wait for the next round and a more predictable game with Getafe.