chart buddy and honey badger setting up some discounts.
Weds is fed rate. so
-0.25% holy shit we get fucked very very unlikely
0.00% a lot of displeasure unlikely
+0.25% some happiness and corn rises most likely I think this and I think 125k by Friday .
+0.50% more happiness and corn rise bigly less likely
+0.75% this would cause fear very unlikely .
I really want to open the Elijah Craig which mean we needs to pass 130
I also decided to buy a bit of corn today
September Cut:
The market strongly favors a 25 basis point cut at the September meeting, with high probabilities reflected in the CME FedWatch data.
Future Cuts:
The number of subsequent cuts is less certain, but Fed funds futures are pricing in multiple cuts by the end of the year, with some sources expecting two or three total reductions in 2025.
For Fed Interest Rate Decision Sep 17, 2025:
Target Rate Current Probability%
3.75 - 4.00 2.1% 3.6%
4.00 - 4.25 97.9% 96.4%
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https://www.investing.com/central-banks/fed-rate-monitor