I think that we are talking apples and oranges, since my system of valuation would relate to figuring out if you have enough cornz for certain kinds of actions, such as engaging in price-based  and/or time-based sustainable withdrawal. and surely if you have other income sources, then you might be spending from those first.

You have already mentioned several times that you are contemplating selling to buy back cheaper, and I don't really plan like that in regards to my BTC holdings, even though frequently, I end up buying back cheaper, but those are not planned and/or hoped for, at least in the way that I am attempting to manage my BTC holdings.

I continue to presume that we are in a bull market, so I consider that the odds for up are greater than the odds for down, yet at some point I am likely to end up being wrong, again.

I can hardly imagine that our top is already in or that the top might end up being sub $150k, even though I am financially and psychologically prepared in case BTC prices end up playing out that way... I think that there are good odds of $180k plus, yet it seems a bit difficult to imagine with only 3.5 months left in the calendar year, and so far no bull runs have extended past the 4-year cycle, so far... yet I don't rule out matters merely based on their not having had happened previously.

It still seems apples and oranges to me, and I am going to continue to proclaim that you are overly bearish.. even though, sure, spot prices seem more difficult to project into the future as compared with the 200-WMA.  With the 200-WMA, it seems to ongoingly go up, yet it has been progressing upwardly at a fairly slow pace in recent times, yet the 200-WMA does not vary too much.  In the last 3 to 9 months it has been going up between about $30 to $55 per day, and yeah, I would like it to get close to going up $100 or more per day, yet BTC price moves our outside of our control.. even though surely the greater the BTC spot price moves up, then the greater that it is going to pull upwardly on the daily rate that the 200-WMA is going up.


What is crypto?

It does seem to be somewhat related to bitcoin, but still.. it seems problematic to be throwing around the term "crypto" as if it were to have much if any meaning.. .and on a personal level it causes me to think of shitcoins and grifter rather than bitcoin, even though we are talking about bitcoin in this thread..

so are you just trying to provoke with your repetition of such a non-sense term without putting such term into some kind of a meaningful context?



I was wondering what was happening with all of those pennies.


Even though the various pro-bitcoin stances seem to be benefiting bitcoin HODLers, Trump seems a bit of a grifter on the topic, to the extent that he understands the difference between bitcoin and shitcoins, but also some of the lack of clarity may result in attacks on folks who are engaging in self-custody of their bitcoin and/or transacting directly without going through 3rd parties.. so aspects of the direction remain unclear, even though surely it feels better to feel like we have less hostility, even though maybe it still might be scary to report our bitcoin, since they might end up getting confiscated by our Uncle.