Before investing in Bitcoin, you need to know that no one can ever predict Bitcoin. Because no one knows about the Bitcoin cycle. But a trader can determine the price. Invest patiently by holding according to your investment plan. Never lose your valuable investment by panicking about the future. No one knows the exact movement of Bitcoin, so you should not worry too much about these. Because you can make wrong decisions due to price volatility and price movement.
Only those who do Ponzi schemes or traders in Bitcoin make predictions. Without paying attention to these, you can just continue investing patiently for the long term. You may benefit from the investment in the future. Unless you lose your investment.
It is unusual for Bitcoin predictions to be 100% accurate all the time, so the fact that no one knows the Bitcoin cycle sounds a bit confusing. Because everyone knows the halving cycle of at least 4 years, and it has been seen in the history of Bitcoin that it has a big impact on the price. Therefore, even if no one can say exactly how much Bitcoin will be in the future, the existence of this cycle cannot be denied. Therefore, without being too afraid of the price falling or rising, investing a certain amount of money regularly every week or month is the right investment decision, no matter how much the price rises or falls. DCA solves this problem. In this way, buying assets at an average price is the most effective strategy for beginners.
It is true that nobody can be certain about the short term movements because market is very volatile and the factors affecting it are numerous. Nevertheless, a halving cycle every 4 or so years is a proven fact that has long been associated with major price changes. This cycle mitigates inflation of the supply of Bitcoin, which is likely to exert an upward price pressure over time.
With that said, we can make emotional choices and suffer losses, basing them on accurate timing or predictions. With the DCA strategy that you have mentioned, it has been demonstrated that this strategy assists in ironing out volatility as a result of purchasing over time. It eliminates the threat of reaching a market at the point of saturation and suits a long-term mentality, and you cannot know how prices will be, but knowing the half-life helps create a more contextually informative viewpoint, and putting the two together (e.g. with intelligent investing techniques such as DCA can create a superior, more relaxing way to invest.