Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A)
by
jems
on 25/09/2025, 14:11:32 UTC
Bookmakers are currently pricing this game as follows:

2.40 - 3.25 - 3.10

It turns out that despite Napoli being the favorite in the title race, they are the underdogs in this particular game. I don't even know if it's fair to rate the current champion and race leader as 3.10? Plus, Milan is far from being the strongest competitor and is very far from its best days. For some reason, I'm starting to think that betting on Napoli is the right choice, or that I could take the more reliable Napoli Double Chance.
It’s a bit disrespectful to Napoli by my standards. Milan is better than a year ago — we can see that from the first few games — but they’re not title contenders better just yet. So putting Napoli at 3.10 odds is a little odd, but we’ll take that and play a ticket with a little X2 on Napoli.  Grin
AC Milan is playing at home, which I believe is why bookmakers are favoring AC Milan and offering slightly higher odds for a Napoli win.
This isn't meant to belittle Napoli, but I think it's realistic. AC Milan is playing at home, and their performance has improved this season, giving them a greater chance of winning.

As for betting options, I think it's safer to bet on goals against goals. Both teams are likely to score in this match, as Napoli and AC Milan have been quite productive in their previous matches. So, this could be a safer bet than simply being tempted by the high odds offered by bookmakers for Napoli.