Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
edwardspitz
on 14/05/2014, 06:54:16 UTC
Is it not obvious that without FRESH FIAT (I think I am going to change my user name to this) that these markets cannot go up? And there is no way for fresh fiat to reach the Chinese exchanges.

And if the markets don't go up (and we all should be fully prepared for the market to meander right on past the cross point of this multi-month wedge that everyone's talking about) then the markets are all SITTING DUCKS to bad news coming out of China - like an exchange(s) closing, etc.

Buying here is ridiculous. Shorting isn't a great idea either - although you can often borrow it for almost free, just in case.

I agree with you. But the price could go up if the Chinese realize that they can't get their fiat out of the exchanges (I don't know if this is the case or how likely this is). But in that scenario prices should go up as they buy b/c. I think we will still follow China (even though they should be irrelevant imo).



I think the point is, how are they going to buy BTC (or keep buying it anyway) if they can't get money into the exchanges?


Yes that is true, but they may already have fiat on the exchanges. The traders who wanted to get out must have cashed completely out by now (I know I would have). If the remaining traders realize that buying b/c and transferring it off the exchange is the only way they can avoid losing everything, then they will buy bitcoin with their remaining fiat (on the exchange). This buying will push the price up. This is bitcoin, and something crazy like this could happen although I don't find it likely. I hope that Chinese exchanges will shut down before this happens.