I saw that, it's getting up there! The probability of the end-game via decease versus the probability of end-game via increase, you mean?
Decease of Havelock? 
jk. Decrease vs. Increase, yes. Decrease seems highly unlikely right now but still what are the numbers? What if difficulty increases by, say, 16% everytime? What if it this increase decreases by 1% everytime and so on. Lively examples would be helpful!