We have to remember that we're almost 50% of the way before the block reward is cut in half. With more ASICS coming out, how long do we think the that will be? Maybe 3 months? Then, after the following 25 million, it'll be cut in half again. And, when will that be, maybe 3 months after? Maybe it'll be 3 or 4 months in total, if more of the newer ASICS come out. I think this is one of those coins where early miners (now) are reaping the rewards. I don't think it'll take the rest of the year to get to the 50% mark. Do we have any stats of daily or weekly coin production? Those are the numbers we should be keeping an eye on.
This past low difficulty period pounce saw the peak net hash rate hit about 4500 MH/s. If the ASICs start flowing more over the next couple of months, that peak number will get higher, and there will be a little more coins hitting the market between the high and low difficulty periods. Personally, I think it works as a buffer, where the heavy miners will mine for a period of low difficulty, then sell their coins, then we buy over the high difficulty period when mining subsides, then repeat. At the 50 million mark, the coin production rate will drop in half. It could due the perfect storm for solarcoin miners and consumers, and it may just work out ok?
I believe there's a pretty significant number of believers in solarcoin, that will continue to mine and buy what's being put out. Almost 20 million of the 100 million total mined coins have been already consumed, and no real end of consuming power in sight. If the solarcoin word/interests spreads, and we continue to consume, there will be few people selling, which should increase the demand/price nicely. This is the main coin that I am buying, mining, and holding :-)