Of course it won't be accurate, there is no source of information from where to calculate it. It will be a gamble.
Btw usually when friedcat gives a date, it is because it will happen. I would expect at least an announcement tomorrow.
I am almost tempted to bet you... Remember there was never an announcement from FC that divs were ever going to stop... we had to ask for information through board members to be informed of the 27th date. I love FC and all... but there is a precedence here.